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1 Visa Small Business REPORT AUGUST 0 Spend Insights Visa Small Business Spend Insights monitors the economic confidence of U.S. small business owners by analyzing Visa Business card spend data and responses to a quarterly survey. Small businesses and those serving them can benefit from the trends and insights obtained from Visa s proprietary research. Executive Summary Overall economic outlook continues steady, gradual improvement Small business owners expectations that their revenue will increase remain high, as does the expectation that they will pay employees more. Further supporting this trend, their confidence in greater profits is higher than it's been since this survey began in 007. Read more > Acquisition and retention strategies may be shifting from reactive to proactive Positive responses in key categories such as attracting and retaining customers as well as marketing and advertising indicate that small business owners may be feeling more confident about their prospects for growth in the near term. Read more > Attitudes about financing appear mixed Small business owners are more optimistic about access to financing than they have been since this category was added to the survey in Q08. However, responses also indicate increased concern over the potential rise of interest rates. Read more > Confidence in companies' overall health continues upward trend Small business owners concern over managing cash flow reached its lowest level since this survey began, as did their desire for cash flow-related process improvements. Concern over staying in business decreased slightly, but remains low as well. Read more > Top Current rank Cost of health insurance Rising taxes Attracting new customers Retaining existing customers More restrictive government regulation Top Current rank U.S. recovering from the recession Continued increases in energy prices Changes in consumer confidence Possibility of increasing inflation The falling value of the dollar Individual Small Business Owner Concerns Last quarter Last quarter year ago Macro-economic Concerns of Small Business Owners year ago Opportunities around the impact of the Affordable Care Act: Learn more > Next page >
2 REPORT Page Overall economic outlook continues steady, gradual improvement Growing optimism in several key categories including revenue, profits and employee pay indicate a moderate, but consistent improvement in business owners' economic outlook. Confidence about the local economy has also improved over the past several quarters, although not as steadily. Revenue and profits Since Q09, confidence around revenue and profits has fluctuated, but ultimately risen back to levels closer to those seen before the recession. Expect revenue to increase Expect greater profits % % 6% 9% % % 9% 8% 8% % % We ve got more business coming in, and higher profit margins on jobs. Printing services We ve seen better consistency due to revenue flow and collections from customers. Staffing Q07 Q08 Q09 Q0 Employee pay Confidence in this category fell to percent by Q09, but has recently bounced back to pre-recession levels. % Q09 8% Expect to pay employees more 7% Stronger local economy Despite some fluctuation since Q08, optimism in this category has gradually increased, currently reaching the highest level since this survey began. % Q08 % Q09 % Q0 Confidence in a stronger local economy 8% Small business owners report that sales volume for staffing expenses grew by double digits for the twelfth consecutive reporting period. This trend, along with plans to pay employees more, supports the idea that small business owners are moving from conservative, recession-era thinking to a more proactive mindset. < Previous page Next page >
3 REPORT Page Acquisition and retention strategies may be shifting from reactive to proactive Confidence about attracting and retaining customers, combined with expectations to spend more on marketing and advertising spend, may indicate a more aggressive approach to growth. Attracting and retaining customers Over the past three quarters, small business owners' responses regarding attracting new customers and retaining existing customers suggest an overall improvement in outlook. Concerned about attracting new customers % % % % % Advertising is my number one way to attract new customers. Custodial service The biggest impact has come from networking, updating our website, marketing and direct marketing. Manufacturing Concerned about retaining existing customers Q Q Marketing and advertising spend Small business owners expectations of how much they ll spend on marketing and advertising has risen steadily, indicating their focus may be shifting from survival to growth. 7% 6% Expect to spend more on marketing and advertising 0% 0% Small business owners report they expect to spend more on advertising with recent Visa Business card transactions supporting this trend. For the first time in over a year (Q), data in this category showed double-digit growth. < Previous page Back to first page Next page >
4 REPORT Page Attitudes about financing appear mixed Small business owners responses about access to financing, as well as their responses about how much it will cost, indicate a tempered optimism around the prospect of borrowing capital. Financing: Access vs. cost Over the past two years, responses show that small business owners increasingly believe financing will be relatively easy to access, but also relatively expensive. When it comes to financing If I ask for money, I have the loan. Transportation Q Q Q Q Q Q % % 8% % % 0% 0% What we really need is for banks to start lending at decent interest rates. Retailer % 8% 0% % 6% % 7% 0% Believe cost of financing will increase Believe access to financing will be difficult (added in Q09) % % Interest rates Further supporting this trend, concern over rising interest rates has more than tripled since. % % 0% Concern over rising interest rates The number of Visa Business cardholders who use their card to make small capital investments rose by double digits for the twelfth straight reporting period, which seems to point to the convenience of their cards providing a relatively cost-effective, short-term method of financing. < Previous page Back to first page Next page >
5 REPORT Page Confidence in companies' overall health continues upward trend With unprecedented shifts in some of the strongest indicators of operational stability, small business owners outlook on the overall health of their businesses seems to be improving. Cash flow management After three years of steady decline, concern over managing cash flow reached an all-time low with only 9 percent of small business owners citing major or critical concern. Cash flow process improvements The desire for cash flow improvements has steadily fallen over the past four years, further indicating stronger prospects around businesses financial health. I don't have cash flow concerns but the lack of affordable financing limits growth opportunities. Liquor broker % 9% 9% % 8% 0% It could be a big help if we could find easier and quicker ways to keep track of all cash flow. Custodial service Q0 Concern over cash flow management 9% Q0 Seeking cash flow process improvements Staying in business In perhaps the strongest sign of growing confidence, the number of small business owners concerned about staying in business has dropped by percentage points from Q0 to. 6% % 7% % Q0 Concern over staying in business Spending in categories such as commercial furniture can often correlate with periods of strong financial performance. With year-over-year commercial furniture sales volume up by more than percent this quarter, it seems survey respondents may feel good enough about the health of their companies to start putting money back into their businesses. < Previous page Back to first page Next page >
6 REPORT Page 6 Financial institutions can help provide support as small businesses struggle with healthcare reform Small business owners appear to continue to fear increased costs and it seems this is amplified, in part, by uncertainty about the Affordable Care Act. Understanding the Affordable Care Act With uncertainty about the act likely driving fears of increased costs, financial institutions may want to guide small businesses to resources that can help them better understand the law and its potential impact. Overall understanding % 60% Understanding of compliance requirements 8% 7% Payment preferences Since 009, responses have indicated that checks are diminishing in preference for making payments while credit cards are increasing. 9% Completely understand Checks 6% Somewhat understand % Credit cards % % Do not understand % % Q09 Q0 Impact and preparation A majority of respondents (9% percent) believe their businesses will be affected by the act. Of these respondents, more than half believe the impact will be negative and many of those believe it will increase costs. Of the 9% who feel the act may affect their businesses 8% % Spend Insights Outlook Expect impact will be negative Believe costs will increase Small business owners are showing continued optimism in the economy. We are now seeing spending behaviors around investment and growing their businesses rather than efforts to maintain or survive. We hope these types of behavior continue and that small businesses are able to improve their bottom lines by using the tools that Visa and our financial institution partners provide. Janet Zablock Head of Global Small Business, Visa Inc. Small business resources Small businesses that seek solutions to help manage their business can turn to Visa Business for support. For information about Visa s small business solutions, visit visa.com/business Additional resources: For more small business resources to grow your business, go to Visa Small Business Resource Center at usa.visa.com/business/ resource_center/index.html Connect with Visa for up-to-the-minute tips, tools and more: facebook.com/visasmallbiz twitter.com/visasmallbiz About Spend Insights methodology Visa Small Business Spend Insights monitors the economic confidence of small business owners by cross-referencing actual behavior spend data with responses to a quarterly survey exclusively commissioned from TNS by Visa. This study of businesses with $0,000 $,000,000 in annual revenue was based on small business survey data from April 007 through June 0 and also consists of 667 interviews conducted in June 0. NOTE: This survey is in no way meant to represent or reflect the true nature of the economy. Rather, it is presented as an additional data set meant to help the reader gather information and develop an informed conclusion. Analysis based on Visa Business card spend data between June 0 and June 0. < Previous page Back to first page
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